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The LAW's Nikki Finke returns from vacation with her scorched-earth Oscar picks. Here, she breaks down the race for Best Supporting Actress:

No one plays blind or deaf, although there is a lot of hair dyeing. If the Academy decides to pull a Marisa Tomei, it’s Natalie Portman. But I doubt they can overlook her near-career-ending woodenness in Star Wars. This isn’t Cate Blanchett’s year. And Sophie Okonedo doesn’t stand a chance. Laura Linney is Meryl Streep with a nicer nose. But Virginia Madsen will win, because Hollywood loves ex-sex-symbol survivors who, when their careers grew cold, had the good taste to avoid suicide.

If Laura Linney opts for a box full of razor blades and a warm bath, all bets are off. It's all a question of who wants it the most, ladies.